Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001815 0.001896 0.001981 0.002076 0.002179 0.002290 0.002417
2025-06-29 0.001662 0.001773 0.001895 0.002037 0.002201 0.002387 0.002615
2025-07-06 0.001562 0.001694 0.001841 0.002021 0.002237 0.002493 0.002827
2025-07-13 0.001452 0.001590 0.001748 0.001946 0.002190 0.002490 0.002900
2025-07-20 0.001395 0.001544 0.001717 0.001938 0.002220 0.002580 0.003095
2025-07-27 0.001359 0.001517 0.001705 0.001951 0.002274 0.002702 0.003348
2025-08-03 0.001314 0.001477 0.001674 0.001936 0.002289 0.002772 0.003531
2025-08-10 0.001288 0.001459 0.001668 0.001952 0.002344 0.002899 0.003819
2025-08-17 0.001254 0.001428 0.001644 0.001941 0.002360 0.002970 0.004028
2025-08-24 0.001219 0.001395 0.001614 0.001920 0.002359 0.003014 0.004196
2025-08-31 0.001211 0.001394 0.001627 0.001958 0.002446 0.003202 0.004657
2025-09-07 0.001192 0.001380 0.001621 0.001968 0.002491 0.003327 0.005029
2025-09-14 0.001163 0.001351 0.001594 0.001948 0.002490 0.003379 0.005271
2025-09-21 0.001131 0.001318 0.001561 0.001919 0.002473 0.003400 0.005453
2025-09-28 0.001108 0.001295 0.001541 0.001907 0.002481 0.003467 0.005759
2025-10-05 0.001067 0.001248 0.001486 0.001840 0.002398 0.003357 0.005606
2025-10-12 0.001049 0.001231 0.001471 0.001833 0.002412 0.003431 0.005943
2025-10-19 0.001038 0.001223 0.001469 0.001845 0.002457 0.003569 0.006505
2025-10-26 0.001020 0.001204 0.001452 0.001832 0.002459 0.003623 0.006846
2025-11-02 0.001011 0.001199 0.001452 0.001846 0.002508 0.003778 0.007584
2025-11-09 0.000995 0.001183 0.001438 0.001836 0.002515 0.003845 0.008058
2025-11-16 0.000978 0.001164 0.001418 0.001817 0.002504 0.003872 0.008400
2025-11-23 0.000976 0.001168 0.001431 0.001851 0.002591 0.004132 0.009919